ギャン理論とは

Gann Theory

 

Gann Theory

1. Overview

Gann Theory is a market analysis approach developed in the early 20th century by American investor William Delbert Gann. Gann argued that future market movement could be anticipated by analyzing the interrelationship among price, time, and patterns. Drawing on geometric principles, natural cycles, and mathematical ratios, the method seeks to identify equilibrium between price and time.

Gann’s work has been widely used as a tool for long-term forecasting of financial market price behavior and has influenced many traders.

2. Core Concepts of Gann Theory

  1. Balance of Price and Time

    At the heart of Gann Theory is the idea that “price and time should be in balance.” By studying specific ratios between price and time, traders aim to anticipate market turning points.

  2. Gann Angles

    Gann Angles express the relationship between price and time geometrically. For example, the “1×1 angle” indicates price moves one unit for each unit of time. Other common angles include “2×1” (price 2 units : time 1 unit) and “1×2” (price 1 unit : time 2 units).

  3. Gann Square

    The Gann Square is a tool to visually assess balance between price and time by analyzing price movement in a squared framework. It highlights price levels and time cycles that may become important turning points.

  4. Natural Cycles

    Gann believed market prices display cyclical behavior akin to nature. He examined historical data to uncover recurring cycle patterns.

  5. Relation to Fibonacci Ratios

    Gann Theory incorporates mathematical ideas similar to Fibonacci concepts. Major moves in price or time are often divided into fractions such as 1/2, 1/3, or 1/4.

3. How to Use Gann Theory

  1. Forecasting Trends

    Use Gann Angles to estimate the “speed” of price advances or declines. When price breaks a given angle, you can evaluate the strength and direction of the trend.

  2. Identifying Turning Points

    Apply Gann Squares and natural cycles to anticipate when and where price may reverse or momentum may shift.

  3. Mapping Support and Resistance

    Derive key support and resistance lines based on Gann angles and proportional price relationships.

4. Advantages and Disadvantages

Advantages:

  • Geometric perspective: Unlike many indicators, Gann provides a geometric lens on markets, offering fresh insights.
  • Long-term forecasting: Powerful for evaluating long-horizon balance between price and time.
  • Flexible: Applicable across various markets and timeframes.

Disadvantages:

  • Complexity: Correct application requires detailed knowledge and experience.
  • Subjectivity: Angle and square settings involve judgment, so interpretations can differ among traders.
  • Sensitivity to noise: In very short-term or highly volatile markets, effectiveness can be limited.

5. Practical Examples

  • Finding turning points via price–time balance:

    If price breaks a key Gann angle (e.g., 1×1), anticipate a potential trend change and plan entries/exits accordingly.

  • Trading with support and resistance:

    Use the Gann Square to pre-identify areas where price may rebound or break out.

6. Summary

Gann Theory is an advanced approach that analyzes the market using price, time, and patterns to forecast trends and turning points. Its geometric perspective and use of natural cycles can yield new insights for traders. That said, practical use demands expertise, and combining Gann tools with other indicators is recommended.

Applied thoughtfully, Gann Theory can deepen your understanding of price behavior and help you build more effective trading strategies.

Related Articles

Frequently Asked Questions (Q&A)

Q1. How do I draw the 1×1 Gann Angle in practice?

A1. Adjust the chart so price and time have equal spacing, then draw a line with a slope of 1 price unit per 1 time unit (e.g., $1 per day). Because platforms scale differently, fix a base scale and keep it consistent for testing.

Q2. Can I apply the Gann Square to any instrument or timeframe?

A2. Yes, but tick size and volatility vary widely. Calibrate the base price and time units to each instrument’s characteristics.

Q3. How should I choose between Fibonacci and Gann tools?

A3. Fibonacci focuses on proportional reactions in price (and time), while Gann emphasizes price–time velocity and geometric relations. Zones where both align on the same swing are particularly noteworthy.

Q4. Is it effective for short-term trading?

A4. It can be, but shorter horizons suffer more noise. To reduce false signals, act only where lower-timeframe setups align with higher-timeframe angles/squares.

Q5. What are common pitfalls?

A5. Drawing angles without consistent scaling, choosing arbitrary anchor points, and trading on single signals. Always use a fixed scale, clear anchors, and confirm with other indicators or price structure.

Back to list